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Am I reading this right? Your model predicts a 41-point victory for Washington over Northwestern?

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Yes, a bit of a wide margin I’d say! Washington didn’t quite win by that much, but they did cover the spread fairly easily, so the model was on the right track! In looking at ESPN FPI ratings, underlying metrics viewed Washington to be a considerably better team than Northwestern, more so than the public perception I’d say.

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Thanks for the explanation!

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