I’ll be crunching the numbers this week so see how off the predictions were, but there were a ton of lopsided scores and matchups this week. The model also doesn’t account for teams taking their foot off the pedal up big late in the game against a bad team (like an FCS opponent or something), which might be something to adjust for in the future.
I’m pretty surprised by those predicted point spreads - they appear too extreme at a glance
I’ll be crunching the numbers this week so see how off the predictions were, but there were a ton of lopsided scores and matchups this week. The model also doesn’t account for teams taking their foot off the pedal up big late in the game against a bad team (like an FCS opponent or something), which might be something to adjust for in the future.
I also plan to do some model recalibration periodically. I will be posting mode stats after the conclusion of every week to keep everyone informed