Weekend College Hoops Slate: Feb 21st-23rd
We might see some bubbles burst
The Weekend Ahead:
Some huge games in the bubble picture this weekend. One of Joe Lundari’s “last-four in” Arkansas hosts Missouri, fresh of their upset win over then-#2 Alabama. SMU, a Lunaridi “first-four out” hosts Clemson in search of it’s first quad-1 win. Oklahoma, currently the first team out per Lunardi and one of the first out per our model (see below) hosts faces 21st ranked Mississippi State in Norman. The fun kicks off tonight, though, with a showdown in the Great Lakes State between Michigan and Michigan State in a battle for the Big Ten title.
Friday:
(14)Michigan State at (12)Michigan (Michigan -2.5, 59% win probability)
Dayton at Loyola-Chicago (Dayton -1.2 54% win probability)
Saturday:
(6)Tennessee at (7)Texas A&M (Texas A&M -0.7, 52% win probability)
(18)Clemson at SMU (Clemson -0.6 52% win probability)
(15)Missouri at Arkansas (Missouri -0.6, 52% win probability)
(21)Mississippi State at Oklahoma (Mississippi State -1.0, 53% win probability)
Sunday
Connecticut at (10)St. Johns (St. John’s -4.6 66% win prob)
(13)Purdue at Indiana (Purdue -3.1, 61% win prob)
*AP ranking in parentheses
Updated College Basketball Elo Ratings
Alabama fell two more spots after dropping one on the road to Missouri. Kansas, the pre-season AP #1 team, continues its struggles as it dropped five spots following a blowout loss in Provo to BYU. Missouri, following it’s big win over the Crimson Tide, rose a whopping nine spots to 21st. Even though it was a tou week for the SEC, they remain the dominant conference, placing seven teams in the top-25 and four in the top-6.
Biggest Risers*
Elon (+26 spots)
Western Michigan (+24 spots)
Sam Houston (+23 spots)
Honorable mention:
Missouri (+9 - up to 21st)
Mississippi State (+7 - up to 25th)
Biggest Fallers*
Jacksonville (-32 spots)
Miami (OH) (-30 spots)
Western Kentucky (-28 spots)
Honorable mention:
Kansas (-8 - down to 20th)
Ohio State (-10 - down to 43rd)
*Since the February 14th
Updated Tournament Odds
Keep up with the rankings and game predictions here: https://open.substack.com/pub/beyondthescoresports/p/college-basketball-ratings-and-predictions?r=3gmk5i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web