Week 5 College Football Predictions

Forecasted lines for each game this week.

Rough week last week. We were 44-20 (69%) straight-up and 28-37 (43%) against the spread. In comparison, the market was 50-15 (77%) straight-up and 36-29 ATS. However, we remain up 1.8% straight-up and up 1 game ATS against the market. Lets get back on track this weekend! Here are the projections

Week 5

Upset Picks:

• Washington (+1.5) over Rutgers (-1.5) - Predicted 1.0-point win for Washington

• NIU (+7) over NC State (-7) - Predicted 5.3-point win for NIU

• Sam Houston St. (+9.5) over Texas St. (-9.5) - Predicted 4.2-point win for Sam Houston St.

• Fresno St. (+3.5) over UNLV (-3.5) - Predicted 1.0-point win for Fresno St.

• Louisiana (+3) over Wake Forest (-3) - Predicted 10.3-point win for Louisiana

• UTSA (+4) over East Carolina (-4) - Predicted 4.1-point win for UTSA

• FIU (+2.5) over Louisiana Tech (-2.5) - Predicted 9.1-point win FIU

• Alabama (+2) over Georgia (-2) - Predicted 2.6-point win for Alabama

(Odds via DraftKings or FanDuel, based on availability)

Model Performance to Date:

Keep up with the model here: https://open.substack.com/pub/beyondthescoresports/p/college-football-predictions?r=3gmk5i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web