Week 3 College Football Predictions

Forecasted lines for each game this week

Although Week 2 provided a plethora of upsets (lookin’ at you, Notre Dame), the model beat the market. We were 57-21 (73%) straight-up and 30-29 (51%) against the spread. In comparison, the market was 41-18 (69%) straight up (note that not all games had available lines, which is why the total number for the market only consisted of 69 games). Week 3 kicks off tomorrow night, here are my model’s picks!

Week 3

Upset Picks:

• Pittsburgh (+2.5) over West Virginia (-2.5) - Predicted 12.1-point win for Pitt

• Middle Tennessee (+7.5) over Western Kentucky (-7.5) - Predicted 7.9-point win for MTSU

• UCF (-1.5) over TCU (+1.5) - Predicted 1.6-point win for UCF

• UCLA (+2.5) over Indiana (-2.5) - Predicted 14.7-point win for UCLA

Model Performance to Date:

Keep up with the model here: https://open.substack.com/pub/beyondthescoresports/p/college-football-predictions?r=3gmk5i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web