Week 2 College Football Predictions

Forecasted lines for each game this week

The model did fairly well in an always tricky Week 0/1. We were 90-10 (90%) straight-up and 34-41 (45%) against the spread (which sounds bad, but was inline exactly with the betting market). In comparison, the market was 61-14 (81%) straight up (note that not all games had available lines, which is why the total number for the market only consisted of 75 games. Week 1 is typically the toughest to predict, so it should only get better from here!

Week 2

Upset Picks:

• Duke (+2.5) over Northwestern (-2.5) - Predicted 9.8-point win for Duke

• UTSA (+2) over Texas State (-2) - Predicted 20.8-point win for UTSA

• East Carolina (+2.5) over Old Dominion (-2.5) - Predicted 7-point win for ECU

• Nevada (+3) over Ga. Southern (-3) - Predicted 6.3-point win for Nevada

• Mississippi State (+4.5) over Arizona State (-4.5) - Predicted 4.4-point win for MSU

Model Performance to Date:

Keep up with the model here: https://open.substack.com/pub/beyondthescoresports/p/college-football-predictions?r=3gmk5i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web