College Football Conference Championship Predictions
Conference newcomers headline the final weekend that will solidify the playoff
SMU, Arizona State, Oregon, and Texas all have a shot to win a conference championship in their inaugural season. It looks to be a great weekend of college football ahead, one which will finalize the first-ever 12 team playoff. Here is a detailed look into what my model predicts for each game.
ACC
SMU (11-1) vs. Clemson (9-3)
Line: SMU -2.5
Model: SMU -6.5
Elo: SMU -2.3 (58% Win Probability)
American
Army (10-1) vs. Tulane (9-3)
Line: Tulane -5
Model: Tulane -2
Elo: Army -0.6 (52% Win Probability)
Big XII
Arizona State (10-2) vs. Iowa State (10-2)
Line: Arizona State -2
Model: Arizona State -6.4
Elo: Iowa State -2.2 (58% Win Probability)
Big Ten
Oregon (12-0) vs. Penn State (11-1)
Line: Oregon -3.5
Model: Oregon -23.4
Elo: Oregon -4.3 (65% Win Probability)
Conference USA
Jacksonville State (8-4) vs. Western Kentucky (8-4)
Line: JSU -5
Model: JSU -18.4
Elo: JSU -4.6 (66% Win Probability)
MAC
Miami (OH) (8-4) vs. Ohio (9-3)
Line: Miami (OH) -2
Model: Miami (OH) -9.8
Elo: Miami (OH) -2.6 (59% Win Probability)
Mountain West
Boise State (11-1) vs. UNLV (10-2)
Line: Boise State -4
Model: Boise State -33.1
Elo: Boise State -8.9 (78% Win Probability)
SEC
Texas (11-1) vs. Georgia (10-2)
Line: Texas -2.5
Model: Georgia -1.6
Elo: Georgia -5.3 (68% Win Probability)
Sun Belt
Louisiana (10-2) vs. Marshall (9-3)
Line: Louisiana -6
Model: Louisiana -33.8
Elo: Louisiana -5.9 (70% Win Probability)
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