College Football Bowl Predictions - Part II
Projected lines and win probabilities for Thursday 12/26 through Saturday 12/28
We’ve wrapped up the first round of the College Football Playoff, and now have a week of other bowl games before the next round. We’re starting to see some good teams and matchups as New Years approaches.
GameAbove Sports Bowl
Toledo vs. Pittsburgh
Line: Pittsburgh -7
Model: Pittsburgh -16.5
Elo: Pittsburgh -7.8 (75% Win Probability)
Rate Bowl
Rutgers vs. Kansas State
Line: Kansas State -6.5
Model: Kansas State -2.5
Elo: Kansas State -2.5 (59% Win Probability)
68 Ventures Bowl
Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green
Line: Bowling Green -7.5
Model: Arkansas State -3
Elo: Bowling Green -3.0 (61% Win Probability)
Armed Forces Bowl
Oklahoma vs. Navy
Line: Navy -3
Model: Navy -12.1
Elo: Oklahoma -5.1 (68% Win Probability)
Birmingham Bowl
Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbilt
Line: Georgia Tech -3
Model: Vanderbilt -3.3
Elo: Georgia Tech -7.2 (74% Win Probability)
Liberty Bowl
Texas Tech vs. Arkansas
Line: Arkansas -2.5
Model: Texas Tech -9.1
Elo: Texas Tech -1.9 (57% Win Probability)
Holiday Bowl
#21 Syracuse vs. Washington State
Line: Syracuse -16
Model: Syracuse -11.8
Elo: Syracuse -6.6 (72% Win Probability)
Las Vegas Bowl
Texas A&M vs. USC
Line: Texas A&M -3.5
Model: Texas A&M -15.1
Elo: Texas A&M -4.2 (65% Win Probability)
Fenway Bowl
North Carolina vs. UConn
Line: North Carolina -3
Model: North Carolina -28.1
Elo: North Carolina -2.3 (58% Win Probability)
Pinstripe Bowl
Nebraska vs. Boston College
Line: Nebraska -3.5
Model: Nebraska -5.4
Elo: Boston College -3.2 (61% Win Probability)
New Mexico Bowl
Louisiana vs. TCU
Line: TCU -12.5
Model: TCU -9.8
Elo: TCU -6.5 (72% Win Probability)
Pop-Tarts Bowl
#13 Miami (FL) vs. #18 Iowa State
Line: Miami (FL) -3.5
Model: Miami (FL) -23.7
Elo: Miami (FL) -2.2 (58% Win Probability)
Arizona Bowl
Colorado State vs. Miami (OH)
Line: Miami (OH) -2.5
Model: Colorado State -6.7
Elo: Miami (OH) -2.6 (59% Win Probability)
Military Bowl
East Carolina vs. NC State
Line: NC State -6
Model: NC State -26.0
Elo: NC State -4.4 (65% Win Probability)
Alamo Bowl
#17 BYU vs. #23 Colorado
Line: Colorado -4
Model: Colorado -13.4
Elo: Colorado -0.5 (52% Win Probability)
Independence Bowl
#22 Army vs. Louisiana Tech
Line: Army -16
Model: Army -16.7
Elo: Army -16.7 (92% Win Probability)
Keep up with the model here: